MAINSTREAMING CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION IN AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION
Can the warming be explained naturally?
Predicted effect on temperature
Natural forcings =
Man made forcings =
What would one expect to happen with
This is a shift in the mean state of the atmosphere
→ climate change
A warmer atmosphere means a warmer ocean
Ice melt leads to sea level rise
The complex weather system is shifted into a new
The weather will change (i.e. some places wetter/some drier,
some warmer and some cooler)
Predicted effect on sea level rise
This is the amount the sea level is forecast to rise before
2100 under the A1B scenario
What‟s going to happen in the future?
We are still emitting green house gases, so the atmosphere will continue to
How much depends on the future scenario you choose
Predicted effect on precipitation
Much more uncertain due to the complex weather
systems on Earth
Some areas expected to get wetter & some drier but
climate models disagree about regional effects.
A warmer atmosphere in general will intensify the
water cycle, leading to more intense storms.
This is the cutting edge of climate science!
A Training Manual on Use of Climate Information and Vulnerability and Capacity Assessment for
Agricultural Extension Staff in Zimbabwe